The Research Behind Our Methods
Everything changed in late 2021 when our research team
noticed something peculiar in market data spanning back to 1987. Traditional financial
models consistently failed to predict outcomes during periods of high uncertainty, not
because the mathematics was wrong, but because they ignored fundamental aspects of how
markets actually behave.
This observation led to eighteen months of intensive
research across behavioral economics journals, central bank working papers, and
proprietary trading desk data. We analyzed over 50,000 model outputs from major
institutions and found systematic blind spots that seemed almost designed to miss the
most important market movements.
"The breakthrough came when we stopped trying to
predict what markets should do and started modeling what they actually do. Human
psychology isn't noise in the data – it's the signal everyone was missing."
By mid-2023, we had developed our first working
prototypes. The results were striking enough that several institutional clients began
requesting access to our methods. Rather than licensing to a few large firms, we
decided to build an educational platform that could share these insights more
broadly.
Our approach combines rigorous quantitative analysis with
deep understanding of market psychology. Students learn not just how to build models,
but why traditional approaches systematically underestimate tail risks and overestimate
the stability of correlation patterns during crisis periods.